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Courthouse News Service
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Europe charts own Ukraine path as US pursues Russia peace deal

The EU unveiled a 90-billion-euro loan backed by frozen Russian assets as Trump envoys negotiate in Moscow without European input.

BRUSSELS (CN) — The European Union unveiled plans Wednesday to independently finance Ukraine's war effort through 2027, signaling a decisive break from U.S.-led peace negotiations as Brussels prepares to sustain Kyiv with or without Washington's support.

The European Commission — the EU's executive arm — rolled out a 90-billion-euro "reparations loan" backed by frozen Russian assets and finalized a ban cutting off all Russian gas imports by 2027 — moves that came as Trump administration envoys held talks in Moscow that have left European allies on the sidelines.

The twin announcements represent Europe's most aggressive economic action yet against Moscow and its clearest preparation for strategic autonomy on Ukraine. The commission is prepared to force the measures through over objections from Belgium, which holds most of the frozen assets and faces a Dec. 19 deadline to reach agreement or be outvoted.

The move effectively decouples European support for Ukraine from Washington's diplomatic timeline, ensuring continued military aid even if Trump brokers a ceasefire that leaves Russian forces occupying Ukrainian territory.

The proposal is designed to invite Washington and other allies to join with their own frozen Russian assets, though commission President Ursula von der Leyen's briefing with U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Besent prompted only a noncommittal "positive" response.

"We are increasing the cost of Russia's war of aggression," von der Leyen said. "And this should act as a further incentive for Russia to engage at the negotiating table."

The moves come as the transatlantic alliance shows deepening strain over Ukraine strategy. U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and senior adviser Jared Kushner spent hours Tuesday in Moscow for talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin that yielded no breakthrough. Before the meeting, Putin warned that if Europe "starts a war" with Russia, Moscow would respond so decisively there would be "no one left to negotiate with."

NATO foreign ministers gathered Wednesday in Brussels to discuss Washington's draft peace plan, with European allies pushing to have a say after being blindsided by the U.S.-Russia negotiations. NATO diplomats say allies want consultation before any deal on key issues like Ukraine's NATO membership, troop deployments on allied soil and compliance with international law.

But Washington sent only a deputy minister to the NATO meeting, while Secretary-General Mark Rutte — who continuously praised Trump's leadership — dodged every question about the negotiations, saying NATO is "closely coordinating" with Washington. On the frozen assets, he said the proposal is "primarily playing out at the level of the European Union" but added that "if that is not happening, then it's absolutely clear that we need to get the money in another way."

Translation: Europe is preparing to go it alone.

Germany's Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul, right, speaks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte during a meeting of the North Atlantic Council in Foreign Ministers Session at NATO headquarters in Brussels, Wednesday, Dec. 3, 2025. (AP Photo/Geert Vanden Wijngaert)

The gas ban will cut Russian energy revenues from 12 billion euros monthly in early 2022 to 1.5 billion euros now — and zero by late 2027. The phaseout bars new contracts within six weeks and eliminates all Russian gas from EU markets by fall 2027. Brussels will also propose banning Russian oil imports early next year.

"Putin has used the profits to finance a terrible war," Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen said Wednesday alongside von der Leyen. "Today we say: No more! And never again!"

Borrowing against frozen cash

The commission's 90-billion-euro proposal offers EU countries a choice: borrow traditionally using the EU budget, or use frozen Russian cash as collateral — about 45 billion euros annually for Ukraine's civilian government and military needs. That's lower than the 140 billion euros initially discussed.

"We can equip them with the means to defend themselves and to lead peace negotiations from a position of strength," von der Leyen said. "Since pressure is the only language the Kremlin responds to, we can also dial it up."

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European banks holding frozen Russian money would invest those funds in EU debt contracts. The commission would then borrow against those contracts on a rolling basis, tapping assets as needed rather than all at once.

"Europe is absolutely preparing, if need be, to do everything on its own," Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, a senior fellow at Brussels-based think tank Bruegel, told Courthouse News. "Money is not a problem."

Kirkegaard said the commission is using what he called the "nuclear option" — pushing through the loan with a qualified majority vote regardless of Belgian objections. "Belgium knows that if they don't strike a deal, then the EU is just going to do it anyway," he said. "That's the bottom line."

But Belgium isn't buying it. "We have repeatedly said that we consider the option of the reparations loan the worst of all," Foreign Minister Maxime Prévost said Wednesday at the NATO meeting in Brussels. "It is not acceptable to use the money and leave us alone facing the risks."

Out of a total of 210 billion euros in the frozen assets, about 185 billion euros sit in Euroclear, a Brussels-based financial institution.

Prévost said Belgium has been pushing for standard EU borrowing instead and accused the commission of downplaying legitimate concerns: "We are simply seeking to avoid potentially disastrous consequences for a member state that is being asked to show solidarity without being offered the same solidarity in return."

Kristi Raik, director of the International Centre for Defence and Security in Estonia, warned that Belgian objections could backfire.

"This would prevent a possible scenario where the sanctions would fall apart and Russia would get back these frozen assets," she told Courthouse News. The concern, she added, plays into Moscow's hands by preventing the EU from using one of its few concrete tools.

Russian President Vladimir Putin attends an international forum of civil participation "We Are Together" in Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, Dec. 3, 2025. (Alexander Shcherbak, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)

The commission tried to address those concerns by spreading the risk across all EU countries and institutions holding Russian money, not just Belgium. It also proposed a "solidarity mechanism" where either individual countries or the EU budget would cover costs if Russia strikes back.

Marco Siddi, a leading researcher at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, cautioned that the financial mechanism alone "won't solve any of Ukraine's structural military problems" like manpower shortages or continuous territorial losses. The impact on Russia would be limited, he said, as Moscow "appears to have written off those assets already." Siddi suggested standard EU borrowing might be more realistic, though it would mean European taxpayers eventually foot the bill.

To prevent the asset freeze from collapsing, the commission is also invoking emergency economic powers to create what officials call a "double lock" that would keep assets frozen even if one country blocks sanctions renewal. But it doesn't address Belgium's concerns about potential Russian legal challenges or retaliation.

The broader challenge is that "the EU does not have a strategy with a realistic end goal for the conflict in Ukraine," Siddi told Courthouse News.

Pressure and leverage

Von der Leyen framed the proposals as both punishment and negotiating leverage, pushing back against concerns that Europe is undermining potential peace negotiations.

The financial mechanisms reflect Europe's recognition that it cannot count on Washington's commitment to Ukraine remaining stable. The numbers underscore the strategic shift: Europe has slashed Russian gas dependence from 45% of imports to 13%, coal from 51% to zero, and crude oil from 26% to 2%. Separately Wednesday, the commission designated Russia as a high-risk jurisdiction for money laundering and terrorist financing.

"This is the dawn of a new era. The era of Europe's full energy independence from Russia," von der Leyen said, while Economy Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis added that the proposals "maximize pressure on Russia" and ensure "European taxpayers do not carry the cost alone."

If approved, it would mark the first time frozen sovereign assets have backed wartime loans — a legal gamble Brussels considers worth taking to ensure Ukraine funding survives whatever deal Washington strikes with Moscow.

The proposals head to the 27 EU countries before a summit Dec. 18-19. The Reparations Loan can pass with a qualified majority vote — Belgium can be outvoted. Standard EU borrowing would require unanimous approval, making it vulnerable to a Hungarian or Slovak veto.

Courthouse News correspondent Yuval Molina is based in Brussels, Belgium.

Categories / Defense/War, Energy, International, Law, Securities

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