(CN) — Western efforts to force Russian President Vladimir Putin to quickly commit to a 30-day ceasefire appeared to be sputtering out after high-level talks in Turkey floundered on Thursday.
A long-shot meeting of Putin, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump fizzled out after the Kremlin late Wednesday said Putin would not attend the Istanbul talks.
Still, the first direct talks in three years between Ukrainian and Russian officials were possible as of Thursday evening, a development that in itself would be a minor breakthrough. An American delegation, led by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, was also in Turkey to join the talks if they got underway.
Late Thursday, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan was expected to meet the Russian delegation at the Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul, the site of possible talks between the warring parties Friday.
Since returning to the White House, Trump has reopened relations with Putin and sought to broker a peace deal to end the Ukraine war by applying pressure and offering enticements to both sides. But so far, Trump's efforts have run up against the reality that Ukraine and Russia are locked in fierce combat with neither side so exhausted as to concede defeat.
However, Ukraine is on the ropes militarily and also politically since the return of Trump to the White House. Trump, unlike former President Joe Biden, has treated Zelenskyy harshly and even blamed him for starting the war. Trump has not pledged additional military support for Ukraine and refused, as did Biden, to provide it with military protection.
Instead, the White House has been pushing for a 30-day ceasefire as a mechanism to spur a peace deal. Ukraine has welcomed the idea of a ceasefire that would freeze the frontlines where they are. Such a pause in fighting would be highly beneficial for Ukraine because it would allow it to recoup losses, build new fortifications, replenish its arms stockpiles and possibly open the door to the arrival of European peacekeepers.
For all these reasons, Russia has said it would not agree to any ceasefire that does not include a broader agreement with Western powers and Kyiv on territorial concessions in Ukraine, the retreat of NATO from Russia's borders and the lifting of sanctions. Possessing the military edge in the war, the Kremlin has little incentive to agree to a temporary ceasefire.
Still, expectations for a possible breakthrough on Thursday were raised after Putin last weekend challenged Ukraine to resume peace negotiations in Istanbul, the city where Russian and Ukrainian officials met three years ago, shortly after the February 2022 invasion, and appeared to be on the verge of signing a peace deal.
Putin issued his challenge after European leaders, on a highly symbolic visit to Kyiv on May 10, laid down an ultimatum. They told him to immediately agree to a ceasefire or face even tougher sanctions. The Kremlin rebuffed that threat but offered to commence talks Thursday.
Trump then urged Zelenskyy to agree to the Istanbul talks, which the Ukrainian leader did, though he laid down a challenge to Putin to meet him in Istanbul.
Until Wednesday, it remained unlikely but still possible that Putin might show up in Istanbul. By Thursday, with Putin a no-show, Zelenskyy went on the attack and accused the Russian leader of “a lack of respect” toward Trump and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan for sending a delegation of second-tier officials to Turkey led by Vladimir Medinsky, an aide to Putin. Medinsky also led the Russian delegation in Istanbul in 2022.
At a news conference in Ankara, shortly after meeting Erdoğan, Zelenskyy sought to portray Russia as the party unwilling to end the war.





